Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.141566 0.165678 0.192202 0.223479 0.259290 0.298943 0.346108
2026-02-08 0.099022 0.130735 0.169456 0.219912 0.283586 0.360905 0.461497
2026-02-15 0.073591 0.106593 0.150212 0.211448 0.294438 0.402133 0.551433
2026-02-22 0.063259 0.098719 0.148649 0.222971 0.329425 0.474772 0.686190
2026-03-01 0.050955 0.085253 0.136460 0.216885 0.337993 0.511046 0.773730
2026-03-08 0.041245 0.073643 0.124709 0.208955 0.341708 0.539311 0.850870
2026-03-15 0.034336 0.065127 0.116154 0.204205 0.348773 0.572003 0.936072
2026-03-22 0.030332 0.060750 0.113465 0.208124 0.369251 0.626126 1.057516
2026-03-29 0.027793 0.058502 0.113929 0.217093 0.398455 0.695912 1.208536
2026-04-05 0.024947 0.055159 0.111916 0.221325 0.419776 0.754287 1.345231
2026-04-12 0.022059 0.051220 0.108210 0.221909 0.434523 0.802520 1.468320
2026-04-19 0.019514 0.047527 0.104417 0.221738 0.447622 0.848564 1.590556
2026-04-26 0.016983 0.043482 0.099488 0.219005 0.456103 0.887897 1.705524
2026-05-03 0.014721 0.039634 0.094435 0.215420 0.462621 0.924302 1.818321
2026-05-10 0.012417 0.035231 0.087533 0.207106 0.458898 0.941341 1.896942
2026-05-17 0.011858 0.035020 0.089811 0.218415 0.495410 1.036356 2.125987
2026-05-24 0.010206 0.031676 0.084467 0.212442 0.495770 1.062031 2.226030
2026-05-31 0.008685 0.028357 0.078666 0.204659 0.491402 1.077851 2.307877
2026-06-07 0.007544 0.025855 0.074465 0.199997 0.493179 1.105831 2.415088
2026-06-14 0.006954 0.024846 0.073879 0.203843 0.514066 1.174135 2.606971
2026-06-21 0.006636 0.024607 0.075263 0.212646 0.546912 1.269448 2.859416
2026-06-28 0.006149 0.023730 0.074814 0.216799 0.569366 1.344315 3.074372
2026-07-05 0.005575 0.022446 0.073054 0.217373 0.583413 1.402055 3.257093